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Genius Act - Parallels and possible impacts in Hungary

2025. Jul. 21. | Web3

The Genius Act paints a fateful narrative that sees the stablecoin legal tender in the United States, fundamentally challenges the dominance of the traditional banking system - not just in America, but globally, over time. The aim is to create a parallel financial system where citizens can manage their wealth in a self-directed way, under national control but with decentralised technology.

Let us see what parallels and possible implications for Hungary can be drawn from this:

1. Legal status: stablecoin as a means of payment

  • In Hungary (and the EU), the stablecoin is currently not legal tender.
  • The MiCA Regulation (Markets in Crypto-Assets), which will be phased in gradually in the EU from 2024-2025, will regulate the issuance and use of stablecoins, but will not make them legal tender.
  • US precedent effect: if the Genius Act proves successful, the EU will have to catch up, especially in the field of digital payments - which could open the way for domestic adoption later on.

2. Businesses: lower costs, faster settlement

Hungarian entrepreneurs are currently:

  • They pay a 1-3% credit card transaction fee.
  • They work with a 1-2 day settlement period.
  • They are usually strongly linked to banking infrastructures.

Advantages of stablecoin payments in Hungary:

  • Instant transactions without a bank intermediary (e.g. via USDC/DAI stablecoin).
  • Cost savings: no card fees, no account management costs, no POS equipment rental fees.
  • In a few years, the models inspired by the Genius Act could also offer an alternative for Hungarian SMEs, especially in e-commerce and digital services.

3. At citizen level: financial self-determination

The genius act is the financial sovereignty - is that you no longer need a bank licence to access money.

What would this mean for the Hungarian population?

  • For groups with difficult access to banking services (e.g. small villages, people with a history of foreign currency debt): decentralised alternative access to money.
  • Politically sensitive individuals, entrepreneurs, journalists who may be subject to account blocking, blacklisting: crypto-based money transfers protection and freedom stretch that.

4. Rethinking the function of money

If money is not just a state-issued asset, but a network asset operating on decentralised protocols, it will fundamentally disrupt the Hungarian monetary system.

  • The current financial system is highly centralised, controlled by the state and the central bank.
  • If you can make payments, savings and loans in stablecoin, then:
    • The Bank of Hungary's toolbox is being eroded.
    • The role of the banks is being transformed (or marginalised).
    • The public can start building a parallel financial system 

Possible future Hungarian impacts

Territory

Possible impact

MNB and regulation

It will be forced to react: digital forint, stricter crypto rules or opening up to stablecoins

Businesses

Those who open a crypto can win a cost advantage and freedom

Population

A movement can be launched to "life outside the bank" especially in the younger, technologically open generation

Black economy, political sensitivity

The stablecoin-based systems may make official controls more difficult

International impact

If other countries follow the US example, the Hungarian economy could be forced to adapt

A new era in economic history

The Genius Act could be the beginning of a new era in economic history - not necessarily a "revolution", but a slow, systemic decentralisation that will reach all countries, including Hungary. Those who are prepared (infrastructure, legislation, education, corporate mindset) will have a head start, those who resist may miss the next wave of financial and digital modernisation.

🇭🇺 If I were the Hungarian government and my goal was to regain monetary sovereignty, to replace the fiat system

Bitcoin as a state reserve asset or as a backing for a national currency is no longer a theoretical issue - several countries are considering or have already moved in this direction (e.g. El Salvador, Central African Republic). But in the case of Hungary, it would mean a major systemic shift.

Strategic goal:

The partial or full Bitcoinization of the Hungarian forint and, in the long term, the creation of a parallel financial system where citizens can manage their assets in a self-directed way, under national control but with decentralized technology.

1. Building a Bitcoin pool at national level

  • The MNB is gradually buying Bitcoin as a foreign exchange reserve (in addition to today's EUR, USD, gold reserves).
  • They are not stored with an external service provider, but in a separate, multisig cold storage.
  • Provision: e.g. 5-10% BTC in the international reserve.
  • A voluntary BTC purchase scheme with reduced tax rates may be launched for Hungarian citizens.

2. Legal framework and education

    • Legally recognise Bitcoin as a "digital store of value" and make HODL tax exempt (like Switzerland).
    • A public education campaign is launched: how it works, how to store it, what the risks are.
    • The Hungarian Treasury may introduce a Bitcoin Treasury account, which will be linked to hedging mechanisms.

    3. Introduction of a backed forint (e.g. HUF-BTC) on a pilot basis

    • The introduction of a new tokenised HUF-BTC stablecoin, which the MNB will link to the national Bitcoin reserve at a 1:1 ratio.
    • It can act as digital cash, similar to a CBDC (digital central bank cash), but it is not programmed or controlled.
    • Settlement: on-chain, for example on Liquid, Lightning or RSK networks.

    4. Building an acceptance ecosystem

    • Public institutions, offices and websites accept BTC or HUF-BTC: e.g. for tax payments, fees, government services.
    • VAT refund in BTC is an optional option.
    • Tax and administrative benefits for SMEs if they accept payments in BTC/HUF-BTC.

    5. Development of technological infrastructure

    • Open source Hungarian wallet application (non-custodial!) support.
    • Building a Lightning-based transaction infrastructure for rural shops, schools, small villages (digital inclusion!).
    • National on-chain settlement system within the Hungarian State Treasury.

    Benefit

    Description

    Monetary independence

    Less vulnerable to the US, ECB, IMF

    Trust in money

    If the forint is backed by a real, verifiable BTC hedge, public fears will be reduced

    Public holidays

    People access their own assets, not with a bank licence

    Competitive advantage

    First EU country to set an example for a blockchain-driven monetary model

    Innovation

    The Hungarian fintech, IT and startup sector can become a global player

    Challenges and risks

    Risk

    Description

    Volatility

    The BTC exchange rate is volatile - this can be managed by partial hedging or long-term proration

    International pressure

    The EU, IMF, ECB, NATO etc. would be strongly opposed if member states "break out"

    Public ignorance

    The majority of the Hungarian population is financially illiterate → education is needed to avoid scams

    Technological limitations

    Dealing with Lightning, nodes, cold wallets is not trivial → we need a national digital infrastructure plan

    A Bitcoin-backed forint is not a sci-fi concept - it could be the start of a sovereign, competitive economic model for a small, open country that recognises the new logic of the digital age.

    The future Hungarian economic model starts with individual sovereignty and self-determination. With people, not institutions and not banks. With you! 💪

    This path would not be painless, but it could clearly lead to lower levels of vulnerability, higher economic autonomy and a new system of trust.

    Csabi 🪞

    Author

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